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Monday, 10 August 2026

Crude Climbs, IT Shines: Nifty Holds 24,500 Base as Earnings Marathon Enters Final Lap

Markets Digest Middle East Jitters

The Nifty 50 slipped 0.27% to 24,570.65 and the Sensex fell 0.58% to 78,499.17, with Bank Nifty down 0.55% at 57,746.45, as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz kept traders cautious. Brent crude has extended its climb toward $84.33, roughly 0.93% higher, with Iran-Oman talks progressing but US terms still unmet, according to news reports, keeping a geopolitical risk premium embedded in oil. Analysts cited by CNBC-TV18 note Nifty is attempting to form a base around 24,500, with Monday's 24,774 close and the 24,800 mark seen as the next test on the upside.

IT Stocks Buck the Trend

Nifty IT surged 1.42% to 31,547.70, sharply outperforming the broader market, aided by a notable shift in foreign flows. Economic Times reported that FPIs turned buyers in IT stocks for the first time in 2026, investing Rs 3,358 crore in July — a meaningful reversal after a prolonged phase of underweight positioning. This comes alongside broader FPI buying momentum, with Rs 12,921 crore pouring into equities in the first week of August, per reported data.

Earnings Marathon Reaches Final Stretch

Q1 results season enters its last big week, with Tata Motors, Vodafone Idea, Bharat Forge, MRF, RVNL, HAL, Zee Entertainment, and PI Industries among more than 2,000 companies reporting, according to ET's tracker. Friday's prints were mixed but constructive in parts: Titan posted strong Q1 profit, SBI beat earnings estimates, Hindalco reported record profits, and Ola Electric's losses narrowed, per news reports. Apollo Micro Systems added to the defence-earnings narrative with revenue up 88% YoY to Rs 251 crore and PAT up 43% to Rs 25.2 crore in Q1 FY27.

SBI Emerges as Index Heavyweight

CNBC-TV18 reported that the combined market value of four of India's top-10 listed firms rose Rs 1.43 lakh crore last week, with State Bank of India as the single biggest gainer following its earnings beat. This underscores how a single large-cap print can move index-level valuation even as broader sentiment stays cautious amid crude volatility and Middle East tensions flagged repeatedly across the news flow this week.

Ola Electric's Auditor Flag

Livemint reported that Ola Electric's auditor red-flagged the company's June quarter results after it reversed a Rs 57-crore provision tied to a PLI-scheme penalty, even though the waiver request and extension are still pending government approval. This sits alongside the company's narrower reported quarterly loss, presenting a nuanced picture where headline profitability improvement is paired with an unresolved accounting and regulatory question worth tracking.

IPO Calendar Turns Busy

Nine mainboard and SME issues are set to open this week, including Dhoot Transmission (Rs 3,067 crore, backed partly by a Bain Capital OFS), Molbio Diagnostics, Milky Mist, Shiprocket, and Behari Lal Engineering, together targeting over Rs 7,400 crore, per Hindu BusinessLine and ET reports. Grey market premiums reportedly suggest potential listing gains of up to 37% across the 15 mainboard and SME issues opening or listing this week, reflecting strong primary-market appetite even as secondary markets stay choppy.

Global Backdrop Turns Supportive

Overnight US markets closed firmly higher — the Nasdaq jumped 1.30% to 26,690.62, the S&P 500 gained 0.62% to 7,757.64, and the Dow added 0.28% to 54,036.93 — while Asia followed through, with the Nikkei surging 2.02% to 66,931.48 and the Hang Seng up 0.72% to 25,852.46. Gift Nifty was trading around 24,668, a premium of nearly 13.5 points versus Nifty futures' prior close, signalling a broadly flat-to-firm domestic opening despite the crude overhang.

Goldman's Bull Case and Policy Signals

Goldman Sachs reportedly expects Nifty 50 to rebound to 26,500 by June 2027, citing improving macro conditions — lower commodity prices, a stable rupee, resilient growth, and a rotation toward value and large-cap banks. Separately, the government is reportedly considering raising the CCEA approval threshold for FDI proposals to Rs 15,000 crore from Rs 5,000 crore, a move aimed at easing foreign investment friction and supporting the medium-term investment cycle.

Sector Intelligence
IT
Nifty IT up 1.42% on first FPI buying in the sector since 2026 began, with Rs 3,358 crore inflows reported in July alone.
Banking
Bank Nifty down 0.55% despite SBI's strong Q1 beat driving a large chunk of last week's Rs 1.43 lakh crore mcap gain among top-10 firms.
Defence
Apollo Micro Systems posted 88% revenue growth; HAL turns ex-dividend this week and remains an analyst-favoured name amid the earnings cycle.
Auto & EV
Maruti Suzuki's chairman flagged the need for faster reforms; Ola Electric's narrower loss was offset by an auditor flag on PLI-penalty accounting.
Metals
Hindalco posted record profits even as FPIs reportedly remain net sellers in metals and mining through July and early August.
Oil & Gas / PSU
Oil India, NLC India and PFC are in focus on results; crude's rise toward $84.33 amid Strait of Hormuz uncertainty is a sector-wide input-cost and PSU-earnings swing factor.
What To Watch
  • 1Strait of Hormuz developments and their pass-through to Brent crude, currently near $84.33
  • 2Q1 results from Tata Motors, Vodafone Idea, Bharat Forge, MRF, RVNL and HAL through the week
  • 3Nifty's ability to hold above 24,500 and clear the 24,774-24,800 resistance zone
  • 4US inflation, retail sales and consumer sentiment data due this week and their read-through for Fed policy
  • 5Listing performance of the batch of IPOs opening between August 10-12, including Dhoot Transmission and Shiprocket
  • 6Continuation or reversal of FPI buying momentum in IT, consumer durables and healthcare versus continued selling in metals and financials

INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. CONSULT A SEBI-REGISTERED ADVISER BEFORE INVESTING.

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