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Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Nifty Slips to 23,329 as IT Drags, But NSE's ₹22,561-Crore IPO and Falling Crude Steal the Spotlight

IT Weakness Sinks Benchmarks

The Sensex closed lower by 329.91 points (0.44%) at 74,529.08 and the Nifty fell 85.30 points (0.36%) to 23,329, snapping a four-session winning streak as IT and financials dragged despite crude oil easing for a fifth straight session. Nifty IT was the standout laggard, down 0.94% to 28,582.1, as demand and earnings concerns resurfaced ahead of the results season. Technically, 23,300 is now the key support level analysts are watching, with a break below potentially dragging the index toward 23,000, while 23,500 remains the stubborn overhead hurdle.

NSE Listing Day Arrives

NSE's ₹22,561-crore IPO — India's second-largest ever after Hyundai Motor India — drew a record ₹90,000 crore in demand and finished 5.71 times subscribed, with allotment finalized ahead of its September 24 BSE listing. LIC emerged as the single largest bidder at roughly ₹4,500 crore, joined by ICICI Prudential and Quant Mutual Fund, though retail participation was comparatively subdued at 1.3x versus institutional demand of 12.7x. Grey market premium hints at roughly 4% listing gains, a relatively modest number for an issue of this scale and visibility.

Crude Slide Reshapes Sector Bets

Brent crude has now slipped below $100, trading near 99.19 and briefly touching $98.90 amid talk of potential US-Iran discussions at the UN General Assembly and speculation about the Strait of Hormuz reopening. The move has put oil marketing companies squarely in focus as lower input costs could aid margins, while the rupee strengthened to 95.58-95.59 partly on the back of cheaper oil and RBI dollar sales offsetting corporate dollar demand. Analysts flagged this as a possible trigger for a sectoral pivot toward fairly valued largecaps as bond yields also cooled.

Adani Group Closes Hindenburg Chapter

Five Adani Group companies, including Adani Enterprises and Adani Green Energy, settled SEBI adjudication proceedings tied to related-party transaction disclosures and governance lapses flagged in the Hindenburg Report, paying a collective ₹1.51 crore without admitting or denying wrongdoing. Adani Enterprises alone contributed ₹76.05 lakh to the settlement. The resolution removes a long-running regulatory overhang, though it settles process-related disclosure questions rather than the broader allegations themselves.

Persistent Systems Moves on Nagarro

Persistent Systems has lifted its stake in German IT firm Nagarro to 83% after acquiring an additional 61.15%, setting the stage for a planned delisting of the company. The move comes even as the broader Nifty IT index underperformed on demand worries, underscoring a divergence between company-specific consolidation plays and sector-wide sentiment. The stock remains one of the most closely watched names heading into Wednesday's session.

FII Selling Jumps, DIIs Absorb the Flow

Foreign institutional investor selling surged more than sixfold to ₹3,810 crore, a sharp reversal from the prior session's ₹576 crore outflow, while domestic institutional investors stepped up buying to ₹4,120 crore from ₹2,797 crore. This continuing tug-of-war between FII caution and DII support has been a defining feature of recent sessions and helps explain why the Sensex and Nifty diverged in performance on Tuesday. Bernstein separately cautioned that many FIIs may trade India tactically but see limited reasons to structurally invest, citing large-cap consolidation over forward-looking capital allocation.

IPO Market Hits Three-Decade High

September has seen the biggest mainboard IPO rush in nearly 30 years, with 30 issues raising roughly ₹38,785 crore, the largest monthly haul since October last year. SEBI Chairman Tuhin Kanta Pandey pointed to a potential ₹2 lakh crore of annual IPO fundraising ahead, noting that 55% of this fiscal year's IPO proceeds have gone toward fresh capital for companies rather than pure share sales. Abakkus Asset Manager's DRHP filing and RHI Magnesita's ₹826-crore block deal, led by SBI Mutual Fund, add further texture to a buoyant primary and secondary market for capital raising.

Regulatory Housekeeping in Focus

SEBI is separately working through a consultation on derivatives expiry settlement prices, weighing a blended VWAP model against a return to the earlier VWAP method, with market participants reportedly favoring the older approach. The RBI, meanwhile, has cautioned banks against an emerging loan price war amid surplus liquidity, warning that aggressive lending to cover funding costs could show up as stressed assets years later. Separately, the RBI amended valuation norms for InvIT and REIT units held by financial institutions, introducing distinct treatment for quoted, unquoted, and infrequently traded units.

Sector Intelligence
Information Technology
Nifty IT fell 0.94% to 28,582.1 on demand and earnings concerns, the sharpest drag on benchmarks despite easing crude.
Oil Marketing Companies
In focus as Brent crude slips below $100 toward $98.90, with potential US-Iran talks raising hopes of further easing in input costs.
Adani Group
Five group firms settled SEBI's Hindenburg-linked disclosure and governance case for ₹1.51 crore, closing a long regulatory overhang.
Capital Markets & Exchanges
NSE's ₹22,561-crore IPO drew record ₹90,000 crore demand and lists September 24, while SEBI flagged ₹2 lakh crore of annual IPO potential.
Metals & Mining
Coal India rose 3% after a Morgan Stanley upgrade citing accelerating thermal power demand and rising global coal prices.
E-commerce & New-age Tech
Meesho shares surged 11-12% after UBS raised its target price to ₹260, citing stronger seller/buyer growth and improving unit economics.
What To Watch
  • 1NSE's debut on the BSE on September 24 and how it trades relative to its ₹1,785 offer price and modest GMP
  • 2Whether Nifty holds the 23,300 support level or breaks toward 23,000 as flagged by technical analysts
  • 3Further clarity from RBI on HDFC Bank's CEO succession ahead of its Q2 results scheduled for October 17
  • 4Developments around potential US-Iran talks at the UN General Assembly and their effect on crude oil prices
  • 5SEBI's consultation outcome on derivatives expiry settlement price methodology (blended VWAP vs. earlier VWAP)
  • 6Whether FII selling of ₹3,810 crore proves a one-off or the start of a sustained trend against continued DII support

INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. CONSULT A SEBI-REGISTERED ADVISER BEFORE INVESTING.

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